TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,749 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes25c20,850$5,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,637.54228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No46c14,617$6,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,677.717853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes54c9,332$5,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,297.9838043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes54c7,407$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.583647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c7,047$4,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,752.781,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c5,998$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.941,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.996221%13 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.712045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No47c1,763$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9237544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No74c1,751$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.2910744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No47c1,446$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.3843427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5521540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Yes49c1,158$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33e0…7d46backed Yes51c1,073$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No47c993.79$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.034619.6%9 W · 37 L-9.9wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-60%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes55c990.91$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.912948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Yes53c941.51$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.511942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes51c919.78$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.499547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0915250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes55c906.8$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.066028.3%17 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No47c783.33$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.3338748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes54c782.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3633050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28212242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No44c599.76$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.1917426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked No60c575.42$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.13812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-69.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No46c501.04$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3939746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2456844.1%30 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes55c434.71$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.621526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick55cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Yes53c330.19$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.191776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed No48c273$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ea…5595backed No34c221.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.351250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes55c219.09$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008450%42 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked No47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.993554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed No70c199.56$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…479dbacked Yes53c198.49$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.291154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Yes53c189.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.262245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x319f…63f4backed No46c189$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824242.9%18 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb84d…8b3abacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.827456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed No48c181$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+122.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f69…5092backed Yes54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No49c150$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.525450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…349cbacked Yes48c136.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked No48c130$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No58c120.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705459.3%32 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes55c115$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.755251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Yes53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.213330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes55c112.73$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.731369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No47c110.79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9721745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Yes76c105.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.263850%19 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes53c103.68$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.733145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1f…6823backed Yes45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.993773%27 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342650%13 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.347052.9%37 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Yes52c84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed No49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406147.5%29 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes22c79.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ce…0cc9backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed Yes52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Yes52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Yes52c71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc8…5b10backed Yes55c68.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b8…81a9backed Yes77c62.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No47c62.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6317053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x727e…560abacked Yes53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeed…c44cbacked Yes53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3875…ea76backed Yes53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.553447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4918…3db7backed Yes52c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No47c52.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6221354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd3…8254backed No48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Yes50c52.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ece…8194backed No47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes41c49.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3822356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd3…0591backed Yes55c49.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.45560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked No53c47.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No71c47.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4312751.2%65 W · 62 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked Yes52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0a…5270backed Yes52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1911645.7%53 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097f…df92backed No46c39.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Yes52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da8…d660backed No50c38.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.061546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes48c38.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.771752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x760d…deaabacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed No49c36.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.618556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes54c30.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.955740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-55.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.