Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d49547810e09683709fd796b3171e59336fb16003a0556b4e1c8a86848a5cb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 52c | 55,184$28,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,949.85 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 52c | 50,000$25,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,989.06 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 48c | 41,142$19,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,393.84 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 50c | 11,110$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,610.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 26c | 9,324$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,877.96 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 8,993$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.45 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 50c | 6,279$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 50c | 5,989$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 50c | 5,248$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.02 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 4,579$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.05 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 3,974$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.11 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 3,225$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.03 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 53c | 3,199$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.58 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Over | 73c | 3,153$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +254.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 59c | 2,742$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.95 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 52c | 2,573$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.87 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 37c | 1,572$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.43 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Over | 50c | 1,548$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 55cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Over | 46c | 1,528$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Under | 51c | 1,416$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 43c | 1,311$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.37 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 51c | 1,288$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 1,138$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.62 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 49c | 1,110$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.1 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…7661backed Over | 50c | 1,031$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.61 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 47c | 957.01$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.24 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 50c | 927.59$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 46c | 903.97$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.14 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Under | 51c | 836.53$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.63 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 16c | 778.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 45c | 758.48$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.71 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Over | 41c | 700$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 49c | 620.38$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.97 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 50c | 507.6$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ba…2652backed Under | 51c | 491.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 453.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…21f8backed Under | 59c | 423.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 47c | 400.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Over | 45c | 399.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…4cd5backed Over | 48c | 397.09$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 37c | 395$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…ae63backed Under | 78c | 346.89$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…4683backed Under | 61c | 322.25$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -79%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d55…e1e7backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…2db3backed Under | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 80c | 300$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 52c | 293$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 52c | 291.64$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 33c | 285.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…4ad1backed Under | 62c | 205.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 202.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Over | 49c | 201.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Under | 62c | 197.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…355cbacked Over | 50c | 197.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2d…6e9fbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 52c | 149.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Over | 47c | 149$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 54c | 149$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 52c | 145.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 49c | 141.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 47c | 134.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 52c | 123$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.