TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf32a…b9a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT7352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$59.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.7%+$78.66
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.