TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gironaof Real Madrid, Girona
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Girona51c36,734$18,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,999.678957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Girona54c28,269$15,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,864.14,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Real Madrid49c20,200$9,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8982138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Real Madrid49c14,999$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.686145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b7…35d6backed Real Madrid49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Real Madrid35c4,388$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.6969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Real Madrid47c3,949$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ea…a6cabacked Real Madrid49c3,614$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Girona49c2,963$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.31,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Real Madrid43c2,700$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.992737%10 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Girona52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.992623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Real Madrid50c2,431$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.461,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Real Madrid1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203450%17 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Real Madrid52c1,933$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Girona54c1,851$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.4612648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Real Madrid49c1,760$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.480%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Real Madrid48c1,035$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Real Madrid48c979.33$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.085834.5%20 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2544…f319backed Real Madrid52c909$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.291822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Real Madrid46c865.96$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.343339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Real Madrid49c797.59$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.823046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Real Madrid48c792.31$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3795442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…7e61backed Real Madrid46c595.63$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae6…c165backed Real Madrid49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Real Madrid48c478.19$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.532540%10 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Real Madrid48c473.47$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22911547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ba…134ebacked Real Madrid24c410.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.29825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Real Madrid49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Real Madrid47c404.78$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.244959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Real Madrid50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Girona56c399.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17631745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Girona60c374.7$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.897851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Real Madrid49c370$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Girona56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.149530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Real Madrid21c338.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Real Madrid49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Real Madrid49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Real Madrid44c284.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Girona54c277$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Real Madrid38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Girona53c263$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8814645.2%66 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Real Madrid50c257.54$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.266061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cd0…9fd1backed Real Madrid49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdddc…9eb0backed Girona66c246.39$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.771154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Real Madrid46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028543.2%123 W · 162 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Real Madrid49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009338.7%36 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d19fbacked Real Madrid49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Girona52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9620945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Real Madrid46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae8…5794backed Real Madrid46c197.83$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Real Madrid18c194.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Girona55c194.44$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Real Madrid47c187.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8826242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Girona55c182.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8215250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc213…80f7backed Real Madrid49c152.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Real Madrid47c149.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.494553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3425…84a6backed Real Madrid49c138.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Real Madrid48c133.81$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.236144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Real Madrid47c130.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.442157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Real Madrid47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Girona53c122$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7919750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Real Madrid48c118.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.34438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Real Madrid45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Girona54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Real Madrid49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Girona56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293177.4%24 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Girona53c88.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3653246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e30…01b0backed Real Madrid48c83.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1231…786cbacked Real Madrid48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c6…38a9backed Real Madrid48c83.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Girona54c83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1813052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Girona54c83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Girona54c83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3218152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Girona54c83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1843255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e9…8f51backed Real Madrid49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Real Madrid49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Girona67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Girona57c79.46$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4215051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Girona53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.474156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Real Madrid50c75.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.553256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Real Madrid49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.313826.8%37 W · 101 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Real Madrid50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022839.9%91 W · 137 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Girona50c59.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.543135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Girona53c58.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4110351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc2…2a8ebacked Real Madrid49c55.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid0%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Girona54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.327652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Girona54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.329053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Girona54c54.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2931751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed Real Madrid49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd560…ee17backed Real Madrid49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Real Madrid49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e88…7d0cbacked Real Madrid46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Real Madrid50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510040%40 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Girona55c47.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.373253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a0…9b88backed Real Madrid51c47.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-54.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Real Madrid49c45.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f5…6df5backed Real Madrid47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ba…e9adbacked Real Madrid45c42.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Real Madrid49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204951%25 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.