La Liga · resolved market
Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec7b5685326f9734feaa4648bf985f1551cc19c157c5af653e137ffb53596ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 40c | 22,799$9,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,051.76 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 20,901$10,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,927.48 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 66c | 7,075$4,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.5 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 4,931$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.88 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 65c | 2,294$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 51c | 1,288$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.86 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…a764backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +663.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.98 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 64c | 987.5$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Over | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Over | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 640.87$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.26 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Over | 66c | 630.2$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 559.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.58 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4741backed Over | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…b06abacked Under | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 71c | 499.01$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Over | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 46c | 436$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 58c | 326.52$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.11 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 206.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 54c | 187.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 37c | 180$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 72c | 179.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 60c | 167.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 47c | 163.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 27c | 159.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 31c | 148.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…d605backed Over | 47c | 138.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 29c | 135.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…a5e4backed Over | 72c | 132.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 70c | 125$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Over | 46c | 124.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…490fbacked Under | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Over | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…46edbacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4982…a445backed Over | 71c | 91.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 46c | 73.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 29c | 67.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 52c | 61.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 53c | 56.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…f431backed Over | 71c | 38.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Over | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Under | 52c | 33.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 68c | 26.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Over | 46c | 24.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 54c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…ee23backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…e8debacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…4544backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 66c | 16.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 65c | 16.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 65c | 15.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Girona vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)Girona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.