TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x276f…bfb5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT5549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+79.7%+$175.41
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+54.5%+$10.91
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.4%+$17.86
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+115.3%+$92.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+118.5%+$82.92
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+205%+$164.04
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$59.1
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$64.58
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.38
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117%+$116.97
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.19
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.9%+$31.57
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+89%+$17.79
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37.1%+$22.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+62.9%+$18.88
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.59
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.84
AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+51.2%+$11.95
SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+59.3%+$29.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-83.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$580
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.6%+$32.59
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-3.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+178.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+262.5%+$26.25
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+94.6%+$18.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+66%+$52.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+43.7%+$17.49
AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.