TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c30,027$13,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,643.842,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over50c13,070$6,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,594.063164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over52c11,750$6,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,639.993324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c8,248$4,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,123.7638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under42c6,727$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.9996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ef…d497backed Under50c6,156$3,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under50c4,900$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.2245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Over52c3,095$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c2,552$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.841,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c2,401$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.1752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Under3c1,700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick7cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c1,698$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.118757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under51c1,525$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under46c1,432$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.7315550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over52c1,311$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.44866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4089…91a9backed Over53c1,278$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Over51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under29c1,083$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.16839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…fc20backed Over79c999$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over51c985.67$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c977.02$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Under22c908.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over52c865.38$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.388957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under49c770.9$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.747255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over51c767.24$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.274736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over71c719.23$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6826744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over51c524.45$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9821650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Over53c407.3$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.434158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1611429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c305.01$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3633357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under31c288$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.242365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.025754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Under36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over80c250.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1310361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under48c249.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9910744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under23c227.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5924849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Under50c222$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Over52c218.92$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.08742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over52c213.46$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under16c209$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Under34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over52c190.37$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.389937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c186.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1431051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over80c167.16$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.432860.7%17 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Under12c151.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+118.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9415253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over80c137.01$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.41163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over50c124.66$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3316842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over80c124$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.84271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over77c121.8$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3214351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under48c115$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.21844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under49c108$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.813648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under48c107.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.713152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Under50c107$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.863658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over61c104.81$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3917058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over51c103.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9215648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef1…8ec6backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Over52c88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under49c85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.651258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under49c81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6912350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under49c78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.221471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under47c77.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3613550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c77.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3638739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over52c77.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9210330.1%31 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b99…bfb8backed Under21c71.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Over80c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under48c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.721838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under49c63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.872944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over49c59.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.188143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under48c59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.321566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Over77c56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Over80c55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under49c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.461850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+87.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under49c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.522055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Over52c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over47c44.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.684136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Over52c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Over51c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over51c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.581172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked Over51c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed Over51c40.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.651040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.