TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
US Sassuolo Calcioof AC Milan, US Sassuolo Calcio
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdef9…2d16backed US Sassuolo Calcio57c56,700$32,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,137.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked AC Milan43c41,992$17,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,866.29150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd62…8acfbacked US Sassuolo Calcio53c25,457$13,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,964.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed AC Milan42c22,367$9,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,382.332,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked US Sassuolo Calcio65c11,466$7,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,057.114658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked AC Milan39c8,536$3,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,331.0752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked AC Milan38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed AC Milan34c4,102$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.6996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked US Sassuolo Calcio54c4,002$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed AC Milan42c3,542$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.268251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed AC Milan47c2,801$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.4215550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed US Sassuolo Calcio62c1,592$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.0545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked AC Milan42c1,334$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.284261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed AC Milan41c912$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed AC Milan45c837.09$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked AC Milan39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3125747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed AC Milan41c610$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.112452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed AC Milan6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick7cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed AC Milan39c593.22$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed AC Milan42c566$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5811550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked AC Milan43c551.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.365658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed AC Milan40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked AC Milan43c408$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4428556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked AC Milan32c400$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.986550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed AC Milan43c381.2$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0113648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed AC Milan42c376$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7815459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked AC Milan43c356$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0813152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked AC Milan30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed US Sassuolo Calcio78c291.25$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6822237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked AC Milan42c283$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.799445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked AC Milan43c274$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8218459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb40b…175fbacked AC Milan39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked AC Milan15c249.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.919937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed US Sassuolo Calcio61c201$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.43151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed US Sassuolo Calcio57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8631441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc317…4f97backed AC Milan51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed US Sassuolo Calcio58c193$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.062133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked AC Milan42c188$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8913650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed AC Milan43c182$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2616851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked AC Milan42c173$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.237852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed AC Milan42c173$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.237953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked US Sassuolo Calcio59c169$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.291450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked US Sassuolo Calcio60c166.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed US Sassuolo Calcio76c162$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.882272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+74.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked US Sassuolo Calcio62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.296036.7%22 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed AC Milan43c152$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3615847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed AC Milan43c152$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3612048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed US Sassuolo Calcio77c147$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.812360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed AC Milan43c137$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9125556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked US Sassuolo Calcio74c133.52$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.71875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed US Sassuolo Calcio59c128$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.482339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed US Sassuolo Calcio59c125$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.252245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed US Sassuolo Calcio63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.058854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed AC Milan42c116$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.17652.6%40 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed AC Milan42c116$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.17451.4%38 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed US Sassuolo Calcio59c111$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.512055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked US Sassuolo Calcio59c110$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed US Sassuolo Calcio59c110$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed AC Milan38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.912350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked AC Milan43c102$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.868148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked AC Milan43c102$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8610952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked AC Milan43c102$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.866443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed AC Milan43c102$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8610252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed AC Milan43c102$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.869447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed AC Milan43c102$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.867948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed AC Milan41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416540%26 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked AC Milan41c99.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7531051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed US Sassuolo Calcio59c96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.361154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked AC Milan43c93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9912754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked AC Milan31c89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.311163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed AC Milan42c88.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2711551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed US Sassuolo Calcio59c87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.671770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+50.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed US Sassuolo Calcio59c87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.671361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked AC Milan36c81.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked US Sassuolo Calcio71c77.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.581,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked US Sassuolo Calcio61c72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.082161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked AC Milan28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed AC Milan40c69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked AC Milan44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed AC Milan40c63.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5913550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed AC Milan40c63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed US Sassuolo Calcio59c63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.831020%2 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-69.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed US Sassuolo Calcio59c61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.011877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+84.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked AC Milan27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed US Sassuolo Calcio62c56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.281258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed US Sassuolo Calcio59c56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed AC Milan43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9312453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed AC Milan43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.937445.9%34 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed AC Milan43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.937746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed AC Milan43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9311953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed AC Milan43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9311448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed US Sassuolo Calcio61c51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.891573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked US Sassuolo Calcio77c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751266.7%8 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed US Sassuolo Calcio54c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.542365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked AC Milan41c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed AC Milan41c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed US Sassuolo Calcio78c46.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.158856.8%50 W · 38 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked AC Milan41c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed AC Milan34c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed US Sassuolo Calcio58c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.061656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.