Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x885b33edd7e614b964cc69b97895dc0c6422a8c4914171fd83a0d2a880b7a6d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 877.89$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.98 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 49c | 618.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.37 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 597$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.31 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 51c | 420.81$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 46c | 394.23$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 48c | 348.23$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.08 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 46c | 213$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 46c | 208$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 49c | 204.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Yes | 47c | 112$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 52c | 103$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 46c | 87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 54c | 86.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…92babacked Yes | 47c | 72.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked No | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked No | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Yes | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 56cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked No | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…79a4backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Yes | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked No | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked No | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed No | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked No | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked No | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Yes | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked No | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed No | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked No | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed No | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked No | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked No | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Yes | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed No | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Yes | 50c | 20.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…1161backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.