TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1fba…dc55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.44
1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.72
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.28
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.31
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$20.14
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$9.72
Mavericks vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.96
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$10.5
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$13.5
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.66
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.82
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.9
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.18
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+63.5%+$6.6
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+51.5%+$12.24
Heat vs. Magic: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.75
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Pilots vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.04
Kansas City Roos vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. USC Upstate Spartansbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
James Madison Dukes vs. Arkansas State Red Wolvesbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Pacific Tigers vs. San Diego Torerosbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.51
Spread: Boston College Eagles (-12.5)backed Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.78
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.8%+$29.84
Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-1.5)backed UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.25
Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-4.5)backed Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$12.5
North Alabama Lions vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.24
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Utah Utesbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.9
California Baptist Lancers vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.01
Princeton Tigers vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.3
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.32
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Predators vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$15.51
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Traktorbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.93
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$12.24
Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.15
DEL: Koelner Haie vs. Bremerhavenbacked Koelner Haie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Stars vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$7.74
DEL: Adler Mannheim vs. Eisbaeren Berlinbacked Adler Mannheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$6.8
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.87
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Barys Astanabacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+156.4%+$18.91
Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+138.1%+$25.52
Capitals vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.67
Islanders vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.15
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.04
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.96
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.65
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.29
Hull City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Preston North End FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$32.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.12
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.48
Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.9
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.87
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Juventus FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.65
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Will AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.85
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.99
AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$12.72
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.84
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.69
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)backed Deportivo Toluca FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.16
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+87.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+25%+$3
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+150%+$17.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.08
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 58.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.82
Troy vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Utrecht vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.