Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3d91980edd81c35f3b06e324a89d0ac384315b94fc7a33acfc85b55368233b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 2,350$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.34 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 1,611$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.41 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 839.37$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 34c | 757.03$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.39 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 507.8$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.22 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 13c | 462.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 32c | 385$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 251.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…74c0backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 34c | 135$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 66c | 109$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 68c | 96.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 79c | 85.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 66c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 62.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes | 34c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 34c | 53.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed No | 69c | 38.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed No | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed No | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…a670backed No | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 72c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Kayserispor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.