Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b43375b237d0f5a8698f16cd76073843b10541ced9c7101058da6d3925a0d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 62c | 25,150$15,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,557.05 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 1,102$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.01 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 700.47$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 655.67$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.4 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 35c | 612.19$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 227.82$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 38c | 135.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 38c | 130.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…74c0backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 87.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 36c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 36c | 64.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 73c | 54.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 37c | 49.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Yes | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…d69cbacked No | 60c | 41.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Yes | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 63c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked No | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 59c | 20.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked No | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed No | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Kayserispor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.