Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f2c4ad90637330cb98082847a0864834cae3e857a8ee150913a1b9d4f0a986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 741.83$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.84 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 574.66$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.59 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 489.33$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.25 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 41c | 476.65$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 270.27$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 71c | 201$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 32c | 193$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 34c | 176.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed Yes | 49c | 142.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 52.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 52c | 49.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 28c | 37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 31.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.