Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31b38616bcc8d37480930c733efe2a63276e5429139aa1e729566caa4caac61b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 1,687$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.3 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 1,013$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.1 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 77c | 497.5$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 41c | 197$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 41c | 144$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 41c | 142.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 57c | 139.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 41c | 115$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 41c | 107$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 41c | 107$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 42c | 96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 42c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 41c | 51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 59c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 59c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 59c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 59c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 41c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Over | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 41c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.