TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb570…25db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
Montana State Bobcats vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Eastern Washington Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Spread: Furman Paladins (-2.5)backed Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.24
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
Chattanooga Mocs vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.17
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.29
Spread: Boston College Eagles (-12.5)backed Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.26
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-18.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Denver Pioneers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.08
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$13.25
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Temple Owls vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.36
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-12.5)backed Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+96.1%+$15.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+143.9%+$18.88
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.67
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+244.8%+$26.27
Wild vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
SHL: Roegle vs. Timraabacked Roegle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.46
SHL: Luleaa vs. Vaexjoebacked Luleaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.31
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28.56
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Traktorbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.5
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. HC Sochibacked Admiral Vladivostok · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.66
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.93
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.76
Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.93
Panathinaikos vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.9%+$11.6
Partizan vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$7.38
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.72
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+163.2%+$17.36
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$11.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons Team Total: O/U 20.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.44
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: USC (-5.5)backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12.96
Spread: Houston (-3.5)backed Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.57
O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)backed Angers SCO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS 2 de Mayo win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.