NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47399d0b7bf3de8a9b48668a57b519e1764e50fe9e558664a90795f55ad18d2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $549,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Sharks | 41c | 131,742$54,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,727.64 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Ducks | 59c | 69,558$41,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,384.51 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 33c | 32,711$10,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,894.43 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Ducks | 59c | 25,592$15,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,099.32 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 57c | 24,996$14,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,238.39 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sharks | 40c | 20,470$8,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,281.74 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6f…06bdbacked Ducks | 0c | 20,180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Sharks | 56c | 19,277$10,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,482.04 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Ducks | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sharks | 37c | 14,931$5,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,406.48 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ducks | 58c | 9,532$5,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520.8 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 59c | 9,500$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,605 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sharks | 39c | 9,464$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,772.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Sharks | 38c | 7,548$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.48 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Ducks | 63c | 7,010$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,416.28 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528e…5c74backed Ducks | 35c | 6,468$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ducks | 3c | 5,942$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks | 28c | 5,810$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.28 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks | 59c | 5,689$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.33 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 37c | 5,553$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.51 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Ducks | 61c | 4,835$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.35 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Ducks | 14c | 4,488$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.32 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Ducks | 61c | 4,107$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.23 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 47c | 4,052$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.9 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Ducks | 61c | 3,892$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Ducks | 16c | 3,754$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Ducks | 60c | 3,554$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.4 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Sharks | 80c | 3,121$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 1c | 3,116$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 63c | 3,063$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.14 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Sharks | 39c | 3,054$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.94 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Ducks | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 59c | 2,757$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.67 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Ducks | 63c | 2,688$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.53 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Ducks | 59c | 2,637$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.83 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Sharks | 67c | 2,593$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.5 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Sharks | 78c | 2,474$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 63c | 2,467$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.21 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Ducks | 63c | 2,339$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.29 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Sharks | 70c | 2,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ducks | 62c | 2,300$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.3 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Sharks | 41c | 2,188$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.76 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sharks | 56c | 2,116$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.38 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Sharks | 65c | 2,090$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.4 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Ducks | 24c | 2,077$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks | 62c | 2,010$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.56 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 56c | 2,008$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.52 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Ducks | 63c | 1,999$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.37 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.08 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ducks | 18c | 1,901$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.18 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Ducks | 13c | 1,884$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.93 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Ducks | 63c | 1,741$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Ducks | 56c | 1,700$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.82 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks | 39c | 1,600$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Ducks | 32c | 1,577$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.47 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ducks | 60c | 1,529$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.31 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sharks | 69c | 1,443$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.56 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Ducks | 38c | 1,353$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.31 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 37c | 1,308$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.21 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Ducks | 4c | 1,178$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ducks | 59c | 1,138$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.6 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3891backed Sharks | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks | 64c | 1,087$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.69 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Ducks | 61c | 1,072$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.07 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Ducks | 61c | 1,054$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sharks | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 62c | 1,000$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…5f79backed Sharks | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc760…a21abacked Sharks | 56c | 960$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed Sharks | 56c | 959.99$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Ducks | 61c | 931.08$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.21 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Sharks | 40c | 922.17$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.3 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks | 62c | 852.31$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.94 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…631fbacked Ducks | 63c | 794.75$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…51c0backed Ducks | 61c | 760$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…a15cbacked Ducks | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…e1b9backed Ducks | 61c | 700$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Sharks | 61c | 643.4$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.21 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…3203backed Ducks | 61c | 640$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 63c | 607.56$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.64 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Ducks | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Ducks | 61c | 599.98$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Ducks | 62c | 599.94$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.15 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Ducks | 31c | 594.44$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Ducks | 59c | 591.23$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.29 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks | 40c | 576$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Ducks | 39c | 567.34$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Ducks | 60c | 540$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…f949backed Ducks | 16c | 530$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Sharks | 38c | 527$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.74 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Ducks | 5c | 520$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…ca76backed Ducks | 8c | 505$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Ducks | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Ducks | 17c | 491.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Sharks | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Ducksthis page
- Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.