TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Over56c11,198$6,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,935.181,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c10,978$4,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,844.311,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Over56c8,619$4,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,792.517844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c4,274$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.0789547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Under46c4,224$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.0424654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over53c2,262$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.371,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under47c1,903$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.4430152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66036038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over55c681.4$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.872,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26422248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under45c577.78$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under44c500.01$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22512648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c486$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.841,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2058…cf57backed Over56c464.29$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under46c443.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2449546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Over54c434.78$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20013952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15410438.5%40 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Under46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010850.9%55 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13275946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under44c240$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.637649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under47c224.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.720552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70b…7a8abacked Over53c219.22$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.228046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9220552.2%107 W · 98 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Under45c145$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.252356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under45c133$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.853641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under45c129$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.054055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under45c129$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.052850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Under45c123$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.352245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under45c95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.753447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Under45c93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.851631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c91.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.542,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.648149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.647249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under45c89.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.558346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under47c88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3669653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under45c86.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.718952.8%47 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under45c82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.93351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under45c77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.656759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under44c72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6826348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under44c72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6827148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Under45c71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.951353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Over55c71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.952138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Under45c69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.052040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under45c69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.054148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under45c68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.66150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Under45c67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.152334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-35%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under45c67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.152070%14 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.429550.2%148 W · 147 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Over55c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.551457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e3…9efebacked Under46c58.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.132642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Over55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.752060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under44c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7626448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under38c54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7817552%91 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under44c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7660549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.33243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Over55c53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.852441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.57949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under45c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.151947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Over55c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.72450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under45c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.821648.1%104 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Over55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013743.1%59 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Over55c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.451457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.459950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Over55c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.551338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Over55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bf2…6640backed Over55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Over55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfadc…a4e8backed Over55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb7…8745backed Over55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+60.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under45c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.653366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Over55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8419645.4%89 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8420447.5%97 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8410543.8%46 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8411247.3%53 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8429147.4%138 W · 153 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8413046.2%60 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8419848.5%96 W · 102 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8419442.8%83 W · 111 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8419647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8418946%87 W · 102 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8419745.2%89 W · 108 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8419046.8%89 W · 101 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8420045.5%91 W · 109 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Over55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe43b…f955backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+70.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34938.8%19 W · 30 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Over55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-61.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.