Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62c266d1e48f222bf62441723dfbe6fed865ebc98b3473cbe54dff06c2066b9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 258.81$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 209.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 48c | 183$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 48c | 155$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 53c | 145$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 52c | 126$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 53c | 104$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 48c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Under | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Over | 48c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 23.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 49c | 23.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.