Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78c1b31e3fdd1984664c88dbe965e17561e6da46639cde7c359de5136d059a31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 42c | 461.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 438.86$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 27c | 171$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 27c | 147$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 27c | 131$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 27c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Over | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Over | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.5wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.