Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ef9841e26d374a26d111eeb2fbbc270c3420e7837edeada34b9587ef3596a4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 64c | 535$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.07 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 530$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 74c | 186$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 26c | 126$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 74c | 88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 74c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Under | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Under | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Under | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 26.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Under | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Under | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Under | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.