Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9813c435cebd67e8c4e5e48107c449fac18859f0234b2a75311102aca011ea68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed No | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed No | 46c | 87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed No | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed No | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Yes | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Yes | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Yes | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Yes | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Yes | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Yes | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Yes | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Yes | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Yes | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.