TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5266…ddae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.81
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$13.2
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.87
Nuggets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17.49
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.23
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.24
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.08
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Spread: Heat (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$15.36
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.75
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.96
1H Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$10.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.27
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: 1H Moneylinebacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$13.23
Celtics vs. Nets: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$15.86
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.04
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pittsburgh Panthers (-2.5)backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.82
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.72
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-1.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Spread: BYU Cougars (-9.5)backed Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$19.32
Tulane Green Wave vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.48
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-18.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.65
Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-12.5)backed Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
Spread: Northern Illinois Huskies (-1.5)backed Northern Illinois Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-9.5)backed Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$12.24
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.44
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$13.72
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-3.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$14.28
Alabama State Hornets vs. Air Force Falconsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27.95
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.12
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.93
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.84
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Spartak Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$11.34
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Barys Astana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.05
DEL: Augsburger Panther vs. Nurnberg Ice Tigersbacked Augsburger Panther · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
SHL: Timraa vs. Skellefteaabacked Timraa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.45
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$8.93
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+185.7%+$22.75
Utah vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$45.39
Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PSV vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
Will FC Arouca win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.73
Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.48
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7
Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.94
Will SC Braga vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+27.3%+$7.08
Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$17.48
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.12
FC Volendam vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: 1H Moneylinebacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.71
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$11
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 60.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.9
O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Spread: Western Kentucky (-1.5)backed Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$21.28
Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+132.6%+$31.92
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 62.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.41
Spread: South Florida (-3.5)backed South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Troy vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.98
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Muller vs. Giron: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs Desert Vipers (Game 1)backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$21.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Impulse GW (BO1)backed Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.