Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa58ac2246643b405da0646cbca0c3db8f3401cc991edc40499d7593548dd0c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 509.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 51c | 399.94$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.47 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 266$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 49c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5017…4daebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…e2c5backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ca…a105backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 152.5this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. UNC Asheville BulldogsMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-3.5)UNC Asheville Bulldogs won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)UNC Asheville Bulldogs won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-5.5)UNC Asheville Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.