Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Arouca win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca671f8bd74b550937c9b99b92d200d587f1e6af5a6ca62b38edc8bd0ba5586d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 58c | 7,096$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 6,262$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.48 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 79c | 5,958$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.22 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 32c | 5,242$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.7 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Yes | 0c | 4,457$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…0d0abacked Yes | 68c | 2,560$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 27c | 1,941$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.22 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,759$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,373$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.33 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed No | 78c | 1,359$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9ea1backed Yes | 22c | 1,358$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 51c | 1,174$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 78c | 1,145$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.04 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 22c | 1,022$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.61 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 919.31$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.72 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 22c | 412.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 70c | 412$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.53 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 44c | 372.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…f75bbacked Yes | 53c | 366.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Yes | 76c | 361.84$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 24c | 361.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.54 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 72c | 359.03$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.84 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 30c | 350.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 341.18$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.07 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 21c | 340.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 336$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 330.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 67c | 300.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 23c | 281.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 25c | 239.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 68c | 220.94$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…5914backed Yes | 77c | 177.92$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4b58backed Yes | 44c | 173$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 72c | 166.24$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 48c | 161.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 74c | 159.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 73c | 156.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 68c | 144.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 72c | 137.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe42…87eebacked Yes | 76c | 135.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 74c | 133.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 74c | 123.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Yes | 73c | 122.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…e8fcbacked Yes | 78c | 112.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…919bbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 14c | 104.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…249abacked Yes | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 73c | 99.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…7eb6backed Yes | 77c | 97.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 48c | 97.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 73c | 94.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 77c | 93.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed No | 25c | 87.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd4…cf33backed Yes | 71c | 83.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 43c | 73.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…56b6backed No | 23c | 66.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 26c | 62.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed No | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked No | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 59.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 80c | 56.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 68c | 56.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 48c | 50.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Yes | 65c | 46.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dff…7974backed No | 22c | 46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +353.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed No | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 24c | 43.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…bbb2backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 40c | 39.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…c1e6backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 59c | 37.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 72c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Yes | 52c | 31.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…48aebacked Yes | 76c | 30.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Yes | 43c | 28.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…e40bbacked Yes | 55c | 27.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 55c | 27.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd9…431dbacked Yes | 77c | 24.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…b1b4backed No | 48c | 24.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +476.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 80c | 20.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…e59abacked Yes | 73c | 17.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed No | 79c | 16.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdceb…b53dbacked Yes | 75c | 15.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Arouca win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will FC Arouca vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.