Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16cb8622a5e1d57985fb1916a2a14339525ace8e4c76f178ffc4e6f0fce0549d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 5,812$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 2,605$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.5 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…249ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,587$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 51c | 1,966$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 1,804$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.37 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 50c | 1,482$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.2 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 1,253$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.61 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 1,235$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.28 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 1,179$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.31 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 9c | 1,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 50c | 1,042$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.05 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 952.42$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.02 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 920$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.7 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 640.73$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.12 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 44c | 536.26$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.98 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…62d3backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 376.55$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.69 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Yes | 49c | 357.7$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 80c | 310$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 50c | 254.66$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +746.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Yes | 9c | 229.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 36c | 213.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 51c | 197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 49c | 194$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 50c | 179.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 19c | 172.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 40c | 149.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 27c | 147.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccb…a193backed Yes | 73c | 130.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 64c | 125.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 50c | 93.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 74c | 87.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 50c | 76.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 44c | 76.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 73c | 74.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 68.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…6221backed Yes | 19c | 67.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 61c | 60.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 51c | 57.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked No | 75c | 56.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…3db8backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…09ddbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 40c | 43.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…2ff5backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 50c | 39.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 49c | 36.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 74c | 32.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Yes | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 44c | 24.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 74c | 20.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…1d59backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will FC Arouca vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Arouca win on 2025-12-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.