TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3481…6b3c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
416
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: College Football, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT8915.7%14 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.92
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+78.1%+$97.55
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$68.15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$87.25
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$59.95
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$71.86
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21.78
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.59
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$117.96
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$195.77
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$115.96
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$104.85
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT6749.3%33 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.6%+$15.12
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT6647%31 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+455.6%+$127.1
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$133.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.11
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.88
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+86.6%+$17.31
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$94.51
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32.08
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$109.85
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2560%15 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Sevilla FC vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Getafe CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.84
Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.56
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+76.5%+$15.3
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+47.6%+$9.52
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+25%+$10
All 23 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+143.4%+$257.81
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$53.31
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.73
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+55.1%+$27.54
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$50
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+59.8%+$14.62
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+26.8%+$15.07
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+46.4%+$82.76
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+27.2%+$17.71
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$87.01
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1968.4%13 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.06
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+110.1%+$27.54
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.1
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Casa Pia AC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49%+$19.6
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.7
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.43
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$19.14
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+68.4%+$40.68
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25.4
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Execration (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.9
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.44
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+41.5%+$8.3
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST8100%8 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan Wolverines vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$15.72
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncosbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.9%+$16.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.11
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$15.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Basel 1893 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+46%+$23.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.