TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$263,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under52c50,514$26,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,070.246566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over58c50,096$28,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,956.494942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under41c29,820$12,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,593.918940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c15,836$8,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,576.794,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c13,452$6,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,362.263,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over50c8,058$4,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0298957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under47c6,815$3,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,611.763943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under47c6,278$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,327.1710438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over43c4,652$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.912951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Over55c4,215$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over54c3,700$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99820054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over54c3,355$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.781625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6102…7661backed Over54c3,284$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under46c2,309$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.2190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997e…9f11backed Under47c2,157$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9725…2365backed Under70c2,032$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.816546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over53c1,800$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95455941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under46c1,753$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.68457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over51c1,567$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.2928055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Over54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over47c1,500$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7109947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Over5c1,449$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.981464.3%9 W · 5 L+8.1wins+0.58per pick6cpaid+977.1%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x206e…e75ebacked Under48c1,354$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under53c1,057$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.3525248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under45c1,003$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.9118650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under79c958.23$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.232763%17 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Over43c799.98$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over54c742.44$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.2553246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under41c720.24$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.946141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over11c680$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.22729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under47c638$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.141758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Over55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under45c502.52$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3730743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c500$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Over7c500$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342123.8%5 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick6cpaid+228.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Under46c435.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.351060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf17e…0bd6backed Under42c433.1$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over48c417.97$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.622941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb960…8c47backed Under45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+508.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over51c372.12$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7812821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ffc…177bbacked Over53c358$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under41c340$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.623250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1745038%19 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14450149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Over27c277.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under69c263.53$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.335366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Over53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.58525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over54c247.7$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.762050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4178…bb11backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6b…1287backed Over52c191.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a6…ca5fbacked Under43c191$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f1…1fa1backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0613…4d1cbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over54c183.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.998732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over50c176$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over50c176$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Under48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.420255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over50c154$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7729053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Under68c144.19$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.142373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5927652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5931751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ea…7600backed Under67c112$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4523152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374721.3%10 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd323…64acbacked Over55c99.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.591163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd691…0c27backed Over54c99.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.563148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1696…c0d5backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Under44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.911866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over51c89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3911952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Under48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.332955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under48c80.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8629946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.83036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over50c79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.514244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a06…5e8cbacked Over54c77.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under79c76.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1719461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over50c75.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5843255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9718…9546backed Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.