TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c30,016$17,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,200.284,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over42c14,630$6,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,178.62227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over39c10,460$4,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.242951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over49c4,795$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.691346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under63c4,004$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.1425248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under65c1,548$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.5490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Over46c1,543$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.41656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over65c1,223$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7955658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over62c1,080$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.4813045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcdb…461abacked Over47c851.58$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over76c842.11$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Under7c800$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7442123.8%5 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick6cpaid+228.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f3d…07d5backed Over28c720.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Under4c647.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.945143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under26c599.52$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.649923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over60c501.28$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3753262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3709147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over76c482.61$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.781942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under61c463.8$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under26c309$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.665650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over30c274.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab70…0322backed Over39c256.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Over62c242.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Over26c199.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over23c190.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8455941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf63…65dfbacked Over47c180.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa384…f6e4backed Over74c166.67$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over75c148$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11149447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x914b…a886backed Under61c145.96$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.242373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under25c140.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over74c140$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.642458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2651…3471backed Over75c118.46$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.661566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Over19c110.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Over78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.54346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604721.3%10 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked Over74c99.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.992665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…b9f8backed Under67c98.51$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under26c95.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed Over76c92.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.424953.1%26 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf17e…0bd6backed Under28c90.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under25c88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Under62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6511056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under25c79.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9948934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under21c74.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.213135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over75c74.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.165952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over24c74.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.856443.8%28 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3aa7…f52fbacked Over73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over72c68.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4917458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Over30c61.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.461233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x530d…9b59backed Over53c60.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9bd…8469backed Over76c57.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b65…2d9bbacked Over36c57.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Over75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x042e…f947backed Over75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.550%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ec7…7796backed Under25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a5…7e15backed Over56c46.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd952…c0ccbacked Over38c44.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd323…64acbacked Over59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c41.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.171,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3019646.4%91 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ff…4ddebacked Over76c39.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9887…79a8backed Over40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Over69c36.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c35.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.283,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7658…28bcbacked Under74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.78580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7c…93b2backed Over76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.049637.5%36 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3802…d623backed Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-63.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.25358.5%31 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over78c29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6257252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Over75c26.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Over75c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be2…ad3dbacked Over79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e45…efefbacked Over64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.86475%48 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe97d…185cbacked Over75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Over64c18.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Over75c17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Over75c17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed Over75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe451…1facbacked Over76c14.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.