La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada50dacb31daec9a39cf387dea37b0d16be05838c2a37a4bd97e4a220f9cbcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 48c | 2,093$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.01 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 57c | 1,722$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.65 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 1,428$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.76 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,371$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.74 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,164$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.64 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 42c | 900.77$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.09 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 693.43$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.49 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 55c | 632.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 56c | 500$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 55c | 482.32$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.47 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 400.58$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.12 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 63c | 340.54$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 44c | 210.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 55c | 202.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…a717backed No | 52c | 172.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked No | 47c | 163.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed No | 11c | 153.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed No | 50c | 144.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 45c | 123.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 47c | 104.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes | 55c | 94.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 51c | 77.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed No | 61c | 65.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed No | 62c | 54.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e9…d7eebacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…82c2backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…d85bbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 53c | 44.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…8727backed Yes | 31c | 44.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…6977backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…6685backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 70c | 39.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked No | 42c | 38.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…6b32backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…92babacked No | 48c | 31.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Yes | 59c | 28.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70e…571ebacked No | 59c | 25.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 70c | 24.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Yes | 47c | 21.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3179…3d2abacked Yes | 55c | 21.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…e10ebacked Yes | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.