La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89784a7e26f85337234030c6c37328057c939e3bcbd5d0e61ec9d5c711423445
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 27,785$10,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,443.17 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 56c | 18,000$10,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,920 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 26c | 8,173$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.93 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 61c | 7,400$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 40c | 3,622$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.14 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Under | 5c | 2,100$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 50c | 1,997$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.71 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 39c | 1,319$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 69c | 1,200$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Under | 45c | 933.2$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 43c | 888.37$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 844.34$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.54 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 10c | 818$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 68c | 633.73$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Under | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 9c | 561.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…efdabacked Over | 73c | 459.74$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 11c | 396.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Over | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 64c | 321.77$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 74c | 282.86$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…3ee8backed Under | 60c | 218.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Over | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 41c | 175.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 8c | 167$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Under | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecf6…8145backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 25c | 146.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee8…3352backed Under | 59c | 135.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 67c | 128.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 110.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 425 | 58.4%248 W · 177 L | +31.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 36c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…bc16backed Over | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Over | 58c | 95.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…395abacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 86.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Over | 68c | 73.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 59c | 69.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 65c | 61.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…c340backed Over | 61c | 61.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 68c | 58.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 46c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed Over | 72c | 55.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…cc23backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Over | 44c | 45.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Over | 59c | 42.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 79c | 40.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…8384backed Over | 61c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked Over | 58c | 31.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…806abacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ce…e23ebacked Over | 40c | 29.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb331…3a82backed Under | 62c | 27.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 56c | 26.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Under | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d56…71dabacked Over | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…7705backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.