TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab9b…d007

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,335
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.9%+$134.08
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$127
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$171.73
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+376.2%+$175.34
Warriors vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$164.46
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$123.13
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Rocketsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$147
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$203.67
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$177.58
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$633.33
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+117.4%+$176.09
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 251.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Heat vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+138.7%+$291.36
Bulls vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 119.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$334.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$95.9
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$92.25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+334.8%+$391.7
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$132.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+60%+$306.64
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$180.43
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+138.1%+$103.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$325
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$176.09
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+59.5%+$89.94
Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$221.94
All 18 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$243
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$12.82
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$54.62
Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$69
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$90.51
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$160
FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will PSV vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: PSV (-2.5)backed PSV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 13 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Real Madridbacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+56.5%+$103.38
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$116.9
Fenerbahce vs. Barcelonabacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+57.7%+$325.07
Olimpia Milano vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100.6%+$377.26
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+203%+$203.03
Fenerbahce vs. Panathinaikosbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$274.99
Virtus Bologna vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Partizan vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$152
Monaco vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+208.3%+$416.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$150.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$98.21
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$235.71
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.5%+$457.03
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$161.42
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.