Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d091e160ea331f15c99f53f32bee17990fd3774a5c156825626a20a671eb662
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $461,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 39c | 57,529$22,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,436.25 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 38c | 37,232$14,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,147.98 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 62c | 35,384$21,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,476.9 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 22,039$13,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,621.22 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 59c | 19,999$11,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,159.73 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 61c | 11,475$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.41 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 39c | 11,300$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.98 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 38c | 10,591$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,066.58 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 10,114$6,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.69 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 37c | 10,055$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.41 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed No | 39c | 9,290$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.23 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 60c | 7,544$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.54 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f82…f278backed Yes | 61c | 7,315$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 16c | 5,732$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.5 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 40c | 5,722$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.55 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 80c | 5,500$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 38c | 5,300$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…150dbacked Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…7424backed No | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 4,463$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 4,290$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 39c | 4,043$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.89 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 38c | 4,014$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.35 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.96 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 10c | 3,830$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 18c | 3,660$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.84 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 38c | 3,220$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.6 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked No | 39c | 2,911$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.31 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 41c | 2,873$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.89 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 62c | 2,800$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 40c | 2,700$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.95 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed No | 40c | 2,397$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 38c | 2,278$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.86 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 38c | 2,200$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.98 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 39c | 2,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 24c | 1,989$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.48 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 39c | 1,915$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.88 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,880$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed No | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 38c | 1,610$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.79 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…eb8ebacked No | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 63c | 1,500$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes | 61c | 1,417$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.73 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 40c | 1,200$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…d9c0backed No | 39c | 1,080$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…ca8dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,016$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 8c | 1,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 38c | 999.97$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 33c | 921.92$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.78 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 42c | 814.93$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.85 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 61c | 803.6$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.41 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed No | 39c | 775.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 61c | 747.01$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.32 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 61c | 719.57$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.76 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…9b4ebacked Yes | 61c | 696.69$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 62c | 684.29$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.03 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d1dabacked Yes | 61c | 656.68$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…392cbacked No | 39c | 649.98$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 63c | 641.21$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.25 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 624.64$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.36 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa0…5085backed No | 39c | 603.85$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 61c | 598.66$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 61c | 493.4$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.43 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…8008backed No | 39c | 467.03$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 59c | 402.51$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 20c | 401.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked No | 15c | 400.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 38c | 399.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…0a9fbacked Yes | 61c | 387.29$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Yes | 62c | 382.26$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 42c | 372.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb008…03d8backed Yes | 62c | 355.4$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed No | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…eec0backed No | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 61c | 346.87$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.97 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 14c | 335.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…418ebacked Yes | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.