Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x189f2fb360f3f6626baa3ab346f933433475784621e41ee853df77df1f2004db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 14c | 41,278$5,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,778.85 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 10,376$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 14c | 8,481$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.41 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 15c | 8,018$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.83 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 5,100$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,496$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 3,458$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.3 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 15c | 3,004$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.67 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 18c | 2,207$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.26 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 2c | 1,760$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,633$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.57 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 1,606$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,397$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Yes | 4c | 1,370$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aeb…6f92backed Yes | 22c | 1,225$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Yes | 17c | 1,195$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…d575backed Yes | 4c | 1,127$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae44…b7fbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,059$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 14c | 942$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 78c | 906.64$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.46 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 2c | 901.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 5c | 816.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 16c | 703.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 18c | 603.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 19c | 602.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 19c | 496.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 80c | 451.22$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 405$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5c67backed Yes | 6c | 358.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 17c | 324$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…5984backed Yes | 17c | 291.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…61afbacked Yes | 18c | 277.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 16c | 220.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed No | 80c | 200.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 19c | 199.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 17c | 183.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e40…4e93backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 6c | 175.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 17c | 160$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 80c | 128.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 17c | 120.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 17c | 118.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed Yes | 17c | 106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143e…b821backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…c499backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88c…8465backed Yes | 19c | 79.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 80c | 76.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.