TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01af…f34e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST6636.4%24 W · 42 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
Clippers vs. Nuggets: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$43.75
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$57.75
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.75
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.75
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+215%+$68.24
Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$47.75
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$37.75
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.8%+$25.25
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+110.5%+$26.24
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+47.1%+$24.75
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+86.9%+$23.25
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+151.6%+$60.25
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$51.75
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$66.75
Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.25
Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47.75
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.74
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$35
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48.99
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 250.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+257.1%+$72
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+426.3%+$81
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$36.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$48.99
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NJIT Highlanders vs. Albany Great Danesbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+215%+$68.25
Wofford Terriers vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$26.25
Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+64.6%+$39.25
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.