NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c37e07810eac04d979b73fbb77da17638303245e9d12db8f3e8312790c45fc9

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $108,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $109,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,777 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under	51c	50,000$25,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,499.96	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361e…e9cbbacked Over	49c	20,408$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over	50c	20,000$9,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,984.17	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	50c	11,000$5,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,460	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Over	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	50c	8,555$4,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,288.3	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over	49c	8,554$4,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,191.33	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under	50c	7,000$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,500	174	54%94 W · 80 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6767…d905backed Over	49c	6,955$3,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,408	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over	49c	4,627$2,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,267	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	49c	2,804$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371.94	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	50c	2,400$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	50c	1,657$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828.26	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	50c	1,579$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.18	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Under	63c	1,556$981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.23	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	51c	1,531$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.37	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	63c	1,306$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.86	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over	49c	1,129$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over	11c	1,102$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.79	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over	50c	1,000$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.5	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under	51c	990.2$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.2	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under	51c	897.7$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.76	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under	51c	815$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.24	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	49c	799.97$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.99	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under	51c	790.2$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.2	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	52c	672.69$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.8	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	41c	634.06$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.45	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Under	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under	51c	403.92$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.92	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	51c	400$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.54	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	38c	399.43$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.78	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Over	39c	340$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.6	110	48.2%53 W · 57 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	49c	250$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.5	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over	49c	204.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	48c	199.99$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	31c	198.33$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.02	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	51c	191$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.53	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	50c	190$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over	49c	160.26$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.53	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	52c	146.16$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.16	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	51c	117.64$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Over	50c	116$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	41c	101.61$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	373	52%194 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	561	54.5%306 W · 255 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under	51c	97.04$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.87	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over	49c	68.9$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.76	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	51c	68.9$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.76	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under	52c	67.31$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.31	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Over	48c	58.92$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.28	216	37.5%81 W · 135 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under	52c	58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.61	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	50c	52.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9021…bf4ebacked Under	51c	51.26$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.12	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	76c	51$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.29	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	165	50.9%84 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	49c	48.14$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	50c	40.18$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.05	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Over	49c	34.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	49c	34.51$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…d0f5backed Over	51c	33.35$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Over	48c	31.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	192	42.7%82 W · 110 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9221…8b6dbacked Over	68c	29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	55cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over	51c	28.84$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.71	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	48c	28.32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.82	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…afafbacked Under	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	49c	27.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	51c	25.69$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.54	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…f34ebacked Under	49c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under	78c	15.7$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.41	172	43%74 W · 98 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5this page
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
Trail Blazers vs. KnicksKnicks won
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event