NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59512b3ab41471e030b7c63cb7e475f54d37c5ade8c2443766a7bce5ece33229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 1,407$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 530.41$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 2c | 521.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 460.5$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 77c | 446.77$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 45c | 388.12$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 59c | 371.42$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 366.26$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 11c | 286.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 35c | 249.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 146.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1ec5backed Under | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…479fbacked Under | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 44c | 110.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Under | 58c | 107.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…c090backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 43c | 79.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 61c | 55.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 42c | 45.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…f654backed Under | 58c | 42.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…245dbacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Under | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 36c | 38.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 36.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…d9cfbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…af31backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…60a4backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…0f0cbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d8e6backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…5a54backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…490abacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Over | 43c | 34.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 40c | 34.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…d212backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…a441backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…f54cbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 54c | 32.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 46c | 32.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 51c | 26.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…20abbacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 44c | 24.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Under | 53c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…4858backed Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 58c | 20.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Under | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5this page
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Trail Blazers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.