NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f7356ddd97d0f131d3d714eac25836d60695be02859352fbdb36c336c68b2cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 57c | 108,509$61,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,744.12 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 43c | 75,102$32,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,293.72 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 43c | 21,000$9,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,030 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 9,046$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…111fbacked Over | 50c | 6,290$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 57c | 5,300$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 43c | 3,206$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.69 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5438…c475backed Under | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 2,172$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.48 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…aadfbacked Under | 50c | 2,090$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…129cbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 43c | 1,988$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 1,920$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.98 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 44c | 1,883$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.47 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 1,275$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 44c | 650$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 48c | 422.27$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 54c | 337.04$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 43c | 210$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 209$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Over | 43c | 180.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 155.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 130.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 45c | 76.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Under | 58c | 53.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…9f2cbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 45c | 42.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 44c | 40.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 36.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 43c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 54c | 29.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 29.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…ce3fbacked Over | 44c | 28.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 28.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 57c | 26.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Under | 53c | 25.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 53c | 23.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5this page
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Trail Blazers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.