NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7686fc6a4f359b2e9265667e2146cfde4c7059d3ba7d783db8614f24c0911293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,562,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,567,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,562,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 585,511$292,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292,711.83 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 362,999$177,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,869.51 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Knicks | 50c | 353,040$176,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,581.04 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Knicks | 51c | 350,000$178,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Knicks | 49c | 220,000$107,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +66%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 70,000$37,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,099.89 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks | 50c | 67,118$33,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,771.33 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 48c | 51,119$24,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,734.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 28,181$14,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,090.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 47c | 23,205$10,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,220.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Knicks | 47c | 12,169$5,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,404.69 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 11,000$5,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,379.99 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 47c | 10,278$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,396.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Knicks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Knicks | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.51 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Knicks | 49c | 9,813$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970.56 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 9,806$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 9,658$5,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115.64 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 9,631$4,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.58 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 51c | 8,954$4,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,394.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Knicks | 53c | 8,081$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.15 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Knicks | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 7,222$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 6,546$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 6,113$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.34 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 5,063$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.49 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Knicks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,531$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Knicks | 50c | 4,000$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.67 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Knicks | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 3,121$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.81 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Knicks | 50c | 2,697$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.71 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks | 50c | 2,661$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.97 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Knicks | 47c | 2,404$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.12 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 2,291$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.32 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Knicks | 50c | 2,055$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Knicks | 50c | 2,049$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…49b6backed Knicks | 50c | 2,009$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Knicks | 51c | 1,951$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.22 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks | 50c | 1,813$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.85 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,593$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.37 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 1,588$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.47 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,556$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.24 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Knicks | 50c | 1,278$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.88 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks | 78c | 1,226$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.66 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,213$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.32 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.5 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 1,073$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,061$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Knicks | 47c | 999.96$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.65 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Knicks | 50c | 996.41$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 920.49$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.84 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Knicks | 50c | 897.48$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.74 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Knicks | 51c | 862.75$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.75 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Knicks | 50c | 832$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Knicks | 62c | 808.6$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.68 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Knicks | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 774.17$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.05 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 621.28$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.07 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Knicks | 48c | 577.23$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 557$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 537.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Knicks | 51c | 536.29$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.78 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 52c | 532.65$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…4138backed Knicks | 51c | 529.99$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks | 62c | 512.73$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.09 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Knicks | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Knicks | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…fce0backed Knicks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Knicks | 52c | 383.65$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.15 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Knicks | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Knicks | 50c | 369.18$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.15 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Knicks | 48c | 358.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 354.82$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 329.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Knicks | 47c | 319.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.08 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Knicks | 48c | 308.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Knicks | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe2…42d4backed Knicks | 52c | 303.03$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Knicks | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 296.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…0a1abacked Knicks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)this page
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Trail Blazers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.