NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0116e3e0ef3aec582e6a0439b8164208101a1d62e330611ec6404cf8c96a3672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 54c | 80,000$43,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,799.98 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 75,563$34,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,758.87 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 49c | 14,266$7,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000.55 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 11,076$5,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 48c | 4,561$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 2,401$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.31 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…7d64backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 1,991$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,330$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 1,300$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 1,148$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 53c | 1,066$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.04 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 1,014$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.22 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 51c | 973.67$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.1 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Over | 46c | 673.01$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.58 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…f801backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…390bbacked Under | 53c | 464.15$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde3a…e48abacked Over | 48c | 437.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b16…a497backed Over | 48c | 435.42$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…c59fbacked Over | 48c | 426.92$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…6937backed Over | 48c | 425$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…6bebbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 46c | 221.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 54c | 175$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 49c | 147$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 133.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 124.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 123.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 13c | 79.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 68.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 63.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 51c | 60.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…3faabacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…8b6dbacked Over | 49c | 42.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 37.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Over | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 29.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…162bbacked Under | 55c | 26.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc569…e116backed Under | 55c | 23.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Under | 63c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5this page
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Trail Blazers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.