TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa42a…d91f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
697
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT62347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 623 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$182.8
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$189.35
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.23
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.16
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.29
Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.71
Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.59
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.35
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.76
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.24
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$192.12
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$144.2
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$144.33
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.43
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$189.43
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.84
Spread: Hornets (-15.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$191.4
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.65
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.17
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$162.86
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$99.47
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.4
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.36
Showing 25 of 623 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$57.75
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Adelaide United FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.74
Adelaide United FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$184.8
Macarthur FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.25
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+78.6%+$28.29
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.79
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$28.38
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+80.7%+$29.87
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$28.7
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$137.45
Melbourne City FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$146
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.69
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+49.2%+$50.19
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$89.09
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-62.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$21.6
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$140
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.61
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$152.99
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$161.93
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.85
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$32.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-73.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$63
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$166.09
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$178
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$170
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$111.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+108.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+67.3%+$62.74
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+150%+$22.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$76.19
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$101.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$160
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$109.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Open: Xiyu Wang vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+60%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$178
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$394
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.