Australian A League · resolved market
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6e9029ced70210dc64cfa4bfc4cb0a065aff729b230a64db696cee5bc0213cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 891.02$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 54c | 381.81$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Yes | 44c | 330$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 54c | 296.63$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 65c | 187.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 54c | 184.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed No | 58c | 172.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 45c | 149.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 47c | 127.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 53c | 94.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 54c | 92.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 27c | 79.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 51.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 54c | 48.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 29.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49f…2661backed No | 54c | 22.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.