Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75712798016dc854c09421f533406b9641242d83c651b879870373a1c92cb8f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 53c | 55,114$29,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,188.78 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 51,758$27,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,654.57 | 2,590 | 45.5%1,178 W · 1,412 L | +10.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 46c | 38,128$17,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,538.88 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 51c | 35,727$18,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,220.68 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 27,308$14,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,561.45 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 46c | 20,050$9,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,223 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 12,766$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.95 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 9,854$4,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,801.38 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 52c | 7,694$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 48c | 7,375$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.43 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 5,900$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.33 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 54c | 5,631$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 50c | 5,474$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.87 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 4,775$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.46 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 4,737$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.53 | 1,011 | 44.8%453 W · 558 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 50c | 4,470$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.33 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 4,311$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.13 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 50c | 3,756$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.16 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515b…18c4backed Over | 49c | 2,994$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 49c | 2,250$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 47c | 2,250$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 40c | 1,999$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.63 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 1,972$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.72 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 49c | 1,545$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 1,489$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.13 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,350$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.76 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 52c | 1,160$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.48 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 50c | 1,100$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.31 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 50c | 1,060$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 52c | 1,054$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…4e38backed Over | 45c | 985.55$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 11c | 947.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 52c | 898.88$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.42 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 51c | 868.63$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 23c | 826.09$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 765.97$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.24 | 2,063 | 39.6%816 W · 1,247 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 20c | 738.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 51c | 700$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 72c | 507.49$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 49c | 423.79$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.37 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 257 | 56.4%145 W · 112 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 186 | 59.1%110 W · 76 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 286 | 56.3%161 W · 125 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 40c | 379.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 52c | 333$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 65c | 272$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 49c | 261.22$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 26c | 244.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 211.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 13c | 209.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 50c | 201.51$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 52c | 190.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 55c | 183.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 179.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Under | 74c | 168.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 165.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Under | 56c | 144$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Over | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6690…e6efbacked Over | 17c | 136.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 49c | 130.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 10c | 124.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.