Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd6309eec37a6b504c3510cb441c1f61b72bc076f1557512e9e31ecee42a8f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 5,379$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.83 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 43c | 4,757$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.56 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 57c | 1,324$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.29 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 56c | 1,127$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.31 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed No | 44c | 1,125$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 57c | 1,125$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.72 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 46c | 899.93$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.97 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 44c | 851.75$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.77 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 41c | 815$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 41c | 775.49$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.53 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 589$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.27 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Yes | 57c | 502.61$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 46c | 499.81$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked No | 6c | 344$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 330$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.1 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 34c | 293.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.02 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 287.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 55c | 263.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Yes | 47c | 224.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed No | 44c | 211.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Yes | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed No | 43c | 208.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 52c | 202.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 49c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 55c | 182.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 160.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 62c | 160.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 46c | 119.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 47c | 107.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 65c | 96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195b…c181backed Yes | 21c | 95.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 86.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 57c | 83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…4b9fbacked No | 45c | 76.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 50c | 74.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes | 57c | 73.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafcb…19b1backed Yes | 35c | 56.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…475fbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 56c | 46.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed No | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 44.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…d436backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 42c | 40.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…8c89backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…e42fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 57c | 34.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Yes | 46c | 31.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 69c | 31.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked No | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked No | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 51c | 29.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf7…6547backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 43c | 24.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 43c | 24.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 57c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 52c | 23.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 53c | 23.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0b…d92cbacked Yes | 56c | 20.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Yes | 57c | 20.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…5348backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.