TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a92…5a5e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$328.09
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$241
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$377.51
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+31.3%+$122.39
Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+62.4%+$131.62
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+48.4%+$17.44
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$24.36
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30.4
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$35.07
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+233.3%+$70
Arsenal vs. Brentford: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.1
All 25 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$102.04
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$45.17
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+101.7%+$61.02
Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$69
US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+41.2%+$61.76
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$65
SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+150%+$45
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$53.21
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$56
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$65
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$23.36
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Borussia Dortmund vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+56.3%+$21.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+50.4%+$80.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+32.3%+$113.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.