Champions League · resolved market
Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc59c301ee9df76dcb9d1c8a99bfc42f0eeba3eb75f6a5d91f728a7d1b17446e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 52c | 2,440$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 48c | 1,903$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.35 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed No | 60c | 1,174$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 1,139$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.11 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 54c | 877.84$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 807.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.71 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 737.41$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.55 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb4…f65dbacked Yes | 53c | 675$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 638.25$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.89 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 71c | 636.13$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.48 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked No | 52c | 578.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 46c | 443.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 45c | 392.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.05 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 341.89$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…d605backed Yes | 41c | 265.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 52c | 224.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 12c | 206.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Yes | 54c | 165.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…bca4backed Yes | 48c | 155.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 48c | 120.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…df35backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…ef89backed No | 60c | 101.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 49c | 92.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 45c | 84.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed No | 49c | 74.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…9a74backed No | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 50c | 64.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Yes | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 53c | 60.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…92babacked Yes | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 51c | 41.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffa…5bfbbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…e338backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…4cfdbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…d623backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed No | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…c02cbacked No | 48c | 28.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2f…420ebacked Yes | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…4cf4backed Yes | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee12…0086backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.