Champions League · resolved market
Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e57504c4336afa96d323491632848cd79a89b33cbff0a32a204fab94dd708ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 20c | 6,772$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.39 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 6,100$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.52 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 17c | 2,551$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.73 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 17c | 1,501$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 17c | 1,116$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 17c | 941$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 16c | 832.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 18c | 636.06$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 17c | 614.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 16c | 443.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 17c | 173.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 14c | 132.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…8f36backed Under | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 17c | 87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c0…95afbacked Under | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 18c | 77.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 78c | 46.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.