TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arsenal FCof Arsenal FC, Club Brugge KV
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Club Brugge KV54c19,515$10,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,571.151,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC46c11,460$5,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,170.324544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Club Brugge KV53c10,654$5,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,643.1358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Club Brugge KV48c7,000$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,384.929348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Arsenal FC45c5,151$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838.5238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Club Brugge KV53c2,454$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.672254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Arsenal FC49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.822045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Arsenal FC46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Arsenal FC48c1,455$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Arsenal FC47c1,446$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Club Brugge KV53c1,411$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.0739746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Club Brugge KV54c1,331$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.7210744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Arsenal FC45c1,324$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.6614447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Arsenal FC49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6123836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Arsenal FC44c1,137$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.411442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Club Brugge KV53c1,104$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.0838748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Arsenal FC49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.413063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Arsenal FC48c841.7$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.9415657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Club Brugge KV38c836.27$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.593426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Arsenal FC47c764.61$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.613250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Arsenal FC47c736.19$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.3544955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…30d2backed Arsenal FC48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Arsenal FC45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.672133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+115.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Arsenal FC46c647$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5921354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Arsenal FC54c528$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.883930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Club Brugge KV52c525.99$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0724047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Arsenal FC47c511$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4338356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Club Brugge KV56c510$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Arsenal FC47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2653351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Arsenal FC43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+163%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Arsenal FC49c450.56$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Arsenal FC49c408.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.572458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Club Brugge KV55c402.88$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22012450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Arsenal FC46c349.86$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5317855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Arsenal FC47c333.91$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4314352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Arsenal FC48c332.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1612249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Arsenal FC46c323$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0316753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Arsenal FC46c323$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0317251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Arsenal FC48c318$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4328357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Arsenal FC45c277.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.785050%25 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Arsenal FC45c264$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Arsenal FC45c264$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.513252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Club Brugge KV53c236$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Arsenal FC45c225.26$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2918754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Arsenal FC46c214$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.315651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Arsenal FC46c212.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7513548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Arsenal FC47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772536%9 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Arsenal FC47c211.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3213751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Arsenal FC48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3310149.5%50 W · 51 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Club Brugge KV51c205.35$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7333851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Arsenal FC49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Club Brugge KV53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x250e…b699backed Arsenal FC48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Arsenal FC43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1144531.1%14 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Club Brugge KV55c199.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Arsenal FC46c195.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.653447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Club Brugge KV54c191.43$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.844744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Arsenal FC46c185.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.313352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Arsenal FC45c184$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7112748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Arsenal FC45c174$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9213151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Arsenal FC46c173.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.912152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Arsenal FC46c173$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.963857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Arsenal FC46c173$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9618350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Arsenal FC46c173$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9611652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Arsenal FC46c173$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9615153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Arsenal FC46c172.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.979841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Arsenal FC47c169$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.114247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Arsenal FC47c169$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.116251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d3…4cb9backed Arsenal FC49c157.14$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Arsenal FC44c140$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.96240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Arsenal FC47c138.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.31855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Arsenal FC46c134$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7813853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Arsenal FC45c133$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7611952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Arsenal FC45c131$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.711747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Arsenal FC45c131$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.711548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Arsenal FC45c131$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.711648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Arsenal FC45c131$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.711452.6%60 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Arsenal FC45c131$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.713453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Arsenal FC45c131$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.712652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Arsenal FC45c131$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.713552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Arsenal FC45c131$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.711350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Arsenal FC45c131$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.711452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal FC46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4326144.4%116 W · 145 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe40b…22eabacked Arsenal FC44c127$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…c2aabacked Club Brugge KV57c126.79$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Arsenal FC49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.459252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Arsenal FC49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.451770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Arsenal FC48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.425659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Arsenal FC48c119.68$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2322647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Arsenal FC47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Arsenal FC48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174850%24 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b6…032cbacked Arsenal FC49c102.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfe…8aaebacked Arsenal FC49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Arsenal FC49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac70…d0e7backed Arsenal FC49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Arsenal FC48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68e…663cbacked Arsenal FC45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Arsenal FC47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Club Brugge KV53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539743.3%42 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4915…60f2backed Arsenal FC47c99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.47922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-59%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.