Champions League · resolved market
Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x294a405cf89e566d5468de8f8a28890d9c38f25e5fcf0b5d34ee4d9732872923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 74c | 4,032$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.74 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 62c | 2,819$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 37c | 2,315$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.56 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 1,789$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.58 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 37c | 1,498$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.41 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 1,364$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.9 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 62c | 1,007$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.66 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.03 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 54c | 910.27$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.28 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 720$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 62c | 515.11$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 26c | 437.48$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 61c | 283.74$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 60c | 248$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 39c | 224$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Under | 68c | 220.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…8d1cbacked Under | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 59c | 188.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Over | 46c | 182.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f7…8168backed Over | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Under | 60c | 149.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 107.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 63c | 100.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dd…9889backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 39c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb331…3a82backed Under | 57c | 67.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 62c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…cc69backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 38c | 50.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Under | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 45c | 44.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 62c | 41.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 29c | 36.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Under | 61c | 31.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…b153backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Over | 51c | 20.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.