TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79dd…9889

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$89.57
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+257.1%+$46.29
Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.94
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$30
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$27.49
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.45
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$42.57
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+101.5%+$50.02
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+63.8%+$82.88
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2763%17 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Alcaraz (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sinner vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$15.53
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+68.5%+$50.04
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.8%+$52.94
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$19
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$27.49
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+25%+$26
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Hellenic Championship: Reilly Opelka vs Vit Koprivabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$62
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Laslo Djerebacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.9%+$47.83
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$23.83
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$36.14
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+100%+$25
FC Utrecht vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$50.26
Elche CF vs. Girona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.96
Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+43%+$17.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.