La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2c90140c32c1fc1219e05d0837447518ef4809cc4424fcf556a068bda7f327e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 32c | 7,940$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.91 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 1c | 3,643$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Over | 58c | 2,520$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 76c | 1,982$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.64 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Over | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 980.79$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 627.75$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.54 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 581.35$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.46 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 46c | 499.32$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.63 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 65c | 497.56$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 57c | 350$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 52c | 329.65$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 75c | 320$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0bd6backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 77c | 209.78$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…efdabacked Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 72c | 183.16$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 73c | 180.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 68c | 119.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dd…9889backed Over | 54c | 109.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 425 | 58.4%248 W · 177 L | +31.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 29c | 85.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe365…8180backed Under | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 26c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 54.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 52c | 46.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 53c | 43.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 25c | 42.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x181d…c7e8backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…f8aebacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…85a1backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638d…56ffbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.